Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.008865 0.010520 0.012533 0.015202 0.018720 0.023301 0.029899
2025-04-27 0.006916 0.008904 0.011626 0.015785 0.022295 0.032739 0.052397
2025-05-04 0.005730 0.007754 0.010741 0.015755 0.024644 0.041462 0.081736
2025-05-11 0.004951 0.006950 0.010070 0.015710 0.026791 0.051094 0.125317
2025-05-18 0.004315 0.006220 0.009321 0.015254 0.027910 0.059410 0.181024
2025-05-25 0.003770 0.005539 0.008509 0.014434 0.027909 0.065102 0.243033
2025-06-01 0.003371 0.005038 0.007913 0.013875 0.028273 0.072305 0.339354
2025-06-08 0.003160 0.004822 0.007784 0.014234 0.031069 0.090340 0.615410
2025-06-15 0.002919 0.004522 0.007448 0.014054 0.032369 0.104773 1.037079
2025-06-22 0.002647 0.004136 0.006896 0.013261 0.031576 0.109590 1.441640
2025-06-29 0.002501 0.003963 0.006735 0.013360 0.033627 0.131952 3.202318
2025-07-06 0.002408 0.003877 0.006736 0.013853 0.037297 0.171850 13.474006
2025-07-13 0.002329 0.003822 0.006828 0.014712 0.043364 0.253948 6602.202448
2025-07-20 0.002227 0.003715 0.006797 0.015260 0.048925 0.368655 NaN
2025-07-27 0.002097 0.003539 0.006585 0.015232 0.052028 0.485177 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001981 0.003379 0.006386 0.015188 0.055174 0.647685 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001855 0.003186 0.006085 0.014753 0.055965 0.785265 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001722 0.002969 0.005703 0.013970 0.054270 0.845372 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001615 0.002798 0.005413 0.013435 0.053829 0.968130 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001563 0.002737 0.005383 0.013778 0.059445 1.575347 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001490 0.002627 0.005217 0.013606 0.061517 2.166063 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001396 0.002464 0.004905 0.012848 0.058711 2.217757 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001347 0.002397 0.004829 0.012942 0.062731 3.641144 NaN